Send in the Clowns

Trying to predict Presidential politics months in advance, when even the Republican nominee has not been set, is perilous at best. I know I’m barely paying attention to anything happening in the Republican race mostly because it just seems like a clown show of annoying or bland people.

It only becomes interesting when someone running says something ridiculous like Social Security is a Ponzi scheme. None of these individuals seem like adults. They are clowns trying to connect with the children-like Tea Party types that come out to vote in early republican only primaries. Watch them as they do a juggling act regarding the debt ceiling or Medicare or taxes. Or better yet, don’t.

However, it is a bit of fun to look at some recent polling regarding the 2012 election.

  • Obama’s approval rating sits in the low 40s.
  • Republicans in Congress is far worse — just 28% approve.
  • In a hypothetical general election contest, Obama leads Texas Gov. Rick Perry by five points, 47% to 42% and former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney by one, 46% to 45%.
  • Democrats saying things are headed in the right direction has cratered from 60% at the start of the year to 32% now.
  • Obama receives particularly low marks for his economic stewardship, with only 39% saying they approve and 59% saying they disapprove.
  • Putting aside how they feel about his job performance, 74%of voters said they either strongly or somewhat approve of Obama as a person, his highest rating in the past year.

Overall, it doesn’t seem to be particularly good for Democrats or Republicans, except for the fact the general public absolutely hates Republicans and the President’s numbers are directly related to how he’s dealt with the batshit craziness of the Republicans and their absolute refusal to give him anything resembling a win. Just an active opposition designed to potentially make him a one-term president even though it punishes the American people.

I believe Americans will start really paying attention about the time the Republican nominee picks his or her (who am I kidding, it won’t be a “her.” Just like the nominee won’t be a “her” etiher) VP choice. I expect it will be Governor Chris Christie whomever gets the nomination. Although I’m absolutely certain if Perry wins the nomination it won’t be Jeb Bush as the other guy on the ticket.

Still, the question of who the nominee will be is a fun exercise. Can you imagine the Democrats glee if Perry wins? This guy double downs on unelectable policies such as eliminating social security and Medicare. It seems the crazy wing of the Republican party smells blood in the water, but I’m positive who will be the shark in this scenario.

Republicans are over-reaching. They think they can offer up candidates who want to abolish the EPA as viable general election candidates for President. It’s makes zero sense. Look, I don’t care who the Republican nominee is, I highly doubt I’m going to vote for anyone from the anti-science, anti-intellectualism, anti-reality party. Oh, I might vote for John Huntsman, but the chances of him winning anything is about as close to zero as you can get.

In any event, the polls show Obama beating Perry and hardly anyone knows who this Perry guy is, let alone any of his crazy-ass views. It won’t mean once they get to know him, they’ll like him better than Obama. Very few people want to abolish social security and Medicare and Obama and the Democrats will paint him with the Bush paintbrush and that will be that.

Hey, anything can happen. Long, long way to go